GeoClimate UKCP09 Premium
BGS Datasets
Key information
Scale:
Quasi-1:50 000Coverage:
Great BritainAvailability:
LicensedFormat:
GIS polygon data (ESRI, others available by request)Price:
Price: £1.05 per km2
Capped at a maximum of £31 500
Subject to number of users, licence fee and data preparation fee.
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Our free data is available under the Open Government Licence. Please acknowledge reproduced BGS materials.
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Supporting documents
The BGS GeoClimate: shrink–swell national datasets show potential change in subsidence due to changes in climate. They have been developed by combining long-term UK Climate Projection (UKCP) scenarios for rainfall and temperature changes with the geotechnical properties of the ground, to identify areas projected to experience the largest increases in susceptibility to subsidence over the next century.

GeoClimate UKCP09 Premium coverage for Great Britain. BGS © UKRI.
GeoClimate UKCP09 Premium is a quasi-1:50 000 scale product (due to the variable scales of input datasets), provided as area polygons, for five time-period envelopes, centred on 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2080. It is based on the medium emissions scenarios and provides projections for average, wetter and drier climate conditions. For each scenario it describes five categories of projected susceptibility, from highly unlikely to extremely likely.

Summary of GeoClimate UKCP18 Premium dataset content (click on the table to expand)
- More about the full suite of GeoClimate shrink–swell products
Additional dataset information
Features | GeoClimate UKCP09 Premium |
---|---|
Temporal projections (11-year windows) | Six in total: 2020 (2015–2025), 2030 (2025–2035), 2040 (2035–2045), 2050 (2045–2055), 2080 (2075–2085) |
Historical time period (11-year window) | 2010 (2005–2015) |
UKCP09 emissions scenario | Medium emissions |
Climate models | 11 regional climate models (UKCEH) |
GeoClimate categories | Five |
Climate data scale | Daily 2 km grid |
Statistical outputs | Medium, drier, and wetter for each scenario projection (18) |
Format | ESRI vector polygon data |
Difference maps | 15: three for each time slice |
Relative topics
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GeoClimate UKCP09 Open
Based on medium emissions scenario, provides the most susceptible value for the time periods 2030s, 2050s and 2080s within the grid cell.

GeoClimate UKCP09 and UKCP18
BGS has developed a suite of products, including maps and data, which show potential change in subsidence due to UKCP climate change scenarios