{"id":70405,"date":"2021-03-26T13:43:04","date_gmt":"2021-03-26T13:43:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/?post_type=dataset&#038;p=70405"},"modified":"2024-02-27T14:55:55","modified_gmt":"2024-02-27T14:55:55","slug":"geoclimate-ukcp09-and-ukcp18","status":"publish","type":"dataset","link":"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/datasets\/geoclimate-ukcp09-and-ukcp18\/","title":{"rendered":"GeoClimate UKCP09 and UKCP18"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t\t<section class=\"hero-section hero-section-with-social\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"hero-info-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"row\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"col-12\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"hero-info\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h1>GeoClimate UKCP09 and UKCP18<\/h1>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Shrink\u2013swell national datasets<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t<div class=\"social-wrap social-wrap-inline-them\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"sea-background-f\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<span>Share this article<\/span><a target=\"_blank\"  href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer\/sharer.php?u=https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/datasets\/geoclimate-ukcp09-and-ukcp18\/\"><span class=\"icon-facebook\"><span class=\"hidden\">Facebook<\/span><\/span><\/a><a target=\"_blank\"  href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=GeoClimate%20UKCP09%20and%20UKCP18&#038;url=https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/datasets\/geoclimate-ukcp09-and-ukcp18\/\"><span class=\"icon-twitter\"><span class=\"hidden\">Twitter<\/span><\/span><\/a><a   onclick=\"javascript:void( (function() {var e=document.createElement('script' );e.setAttribute('type','text\/javascript' );e.setAttribute('charset','UTF-8' );e.setAttribute('src','\/\/assets.pinterest.com\/js\/pinmarklet.js?r='+Math.random()*99999999);document.body.appendChild(e)})());\"  href=\"javascript:void(0);\"><span class=\"icon-pinterest\"><span class=\"hidden\">Pinterest<\/span><\/span><\/a><a target=\"_blank\"  href=\"https:\/\/wa.me?text=https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/datasets\/geoclimate-ukcp09-and-ukcp18\/\"><span class=\"icon-whatsapp\"><span class=\"hidden\">WhatsApp<\/span><\/span><\/a><a   href=\"mailto:?subject=GeoClimate%20UKCP09%20and%20UKCP18&#038;body=BGS%20has%20developed%20a%20suite%20of%20products,%20including%20maps%20and%20data,%20which%20show%20potential%20change%20in%20subsidence%20due%20to%20UKCP%20climate%20change%20scenarios%20(https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/datasets\/geoclimate-ukcp09-and-ukcp18\/)\"><span class=\"icon-mail\"><span class=\"hidden\">Email<\/span><\/span><\/a><a href=\"#\" data-copy=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/datasets\/geoclimate-ukcp09-and-ukcp18\/\" class=\"copy-url-on-click\"><span class=\"icon-link\"><span class=\"hidden\">Copy Link<\/span><\/span><\/a><\/div><\/div>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\n\n\n<section class=\"wp-block-bgs-blocks-content-container content-section\"><div class=\"container\"><div class=\"row\"><div class=\"col-12\">\n<p>The BGS GeoClimate shrink\u2013swell national datasets show potential change in subsidence due to changes in climate. They have been developed by combining long term UK Climate Projection (UKCP) scenarios for rainfall and temperature changes with the geotechnical properties of the ground, to identify areas projected to experience the largest increases in susceptibility to subsidence over the next century.<\/p>\n\n\n\t\t\t\t<div  class=\"owl-carousel carousel-primary-color carousel owl-theme thumbs-carousel-js\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"item\"><figure  class=\"img-wrap\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/GeoClimate_comparison.jpg\" data-toggle=\"lightbox\" data-footer=\"&lt;p&gt;GeoClimate UKCP18 2030 and 2070 projections showing potential change in shrink-swell subsidence susceptibility due to changes in climate. BGS \u00a9 UKRI &#8211; Contains Ordnance Survey data \u00a9 Crown copyright and database right 2022&lt;\/p&gt;\n\" data-gallery=\"gallery_36401\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/GeoClimate_comparison-960x534.jpg\" class=\"attachment-medium size-medium\" alt=\"BGS GeoClimate UKCP18 comparison\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"caption \">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"caption-icon\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/themes\/bgs\/img\/info-caption.svg\" alt=\"Information icon\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"caption-text\"><p>GeoClimate UKCP18 2030 and 2070 projections showing potential change in shrink-swell subsidence susceptibility due to changes in climate. BGS \u00a9 UKRI &#8211; Contains Ordnance Survey data \u00a9 Crown copyright and database right 2022<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"expand-box expand-box-top\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/GeoClimate_comparison.jpg\" data-toggle=\"lightbox\" data-footer=\"&lt;p&gt;GeoClimate UKCP18 2030 and 2070 projections showing potential change in shrink-swell subsidence susceptibility due to changes in climate. BGS \u00a9 UKRI &#8211; Contains Ordnance Survey data \u00a9 Crown copyright and database right 2022&lt;\/p&gt;\n\" data-gallery=\"gallery_36401\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/themes\/bgs\/img\/expand.svg\" alt=\"Expand icon\"><\/a><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div><div class=\"item\"><figure  class=\"img-wrap\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/169857_National_Trust_web.jpg\" data-toggle=\"lightbox\" data-footer=\"&lt;p&gt;It is estimated that shrink-swell ground movement, typically reported as subsidence, has cost the economy an estimated \u00a33\u202fbillion over the past decade. \u00a9 National Trust Images\/John Hammond.&lt;\/p&gt;\n\" data-gallery=\"gallery_36401\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/169857_National_Trust_web.jpg\" class=\"attachment-medium size-medium\" alt=\"\u00a9National Trust Images\/John Hammond\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"caption \">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"caption-icon\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/themes\/bgs\/img\/info-caption.svg\" alt=\"Information icon\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"caption-text\"><p>It is estimated that shrink-swell ground movement, typically reported as subsidence, has cost the economy an estimated \u00a33\u202fbillion over the past decade. \u00a9 National Trust Images\/John Hammond.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"expand-box expand-box-top\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/169857_National_Trust_web.jpg\" data-toggle=\"lightbox\" data-footer=\"&lt;p&gt;It is estimated that shrink-swell ground movement, typically reported as subsidence, has cost the economy an estimated \u00a33\u202fbillion over the past decade. \u00a9 National Trust Images\/John Hammond.&lt;\/p&gt;\n\" data-gallery=\"gallery_36401\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/themes\/bgs\/img\/expand.svg\" alt=\"Expand icon\"><\/a><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div><div class=\"item\"><figure  class=\"img-wrap\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/P903065_road_web.jpg\" data-toggle=\"lightbox\" data-footer=\"&lt;p&gt;Shrink\u2013swell ground movement can lead to financial loss for anyone involved in the construction, ownership or management of property, large structures, infrastructure networks and the utilities. BGS \u00a9 UKRI.&lt;\/p&gt;\n\" data-gallery=\"gallery_36401\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/P903065_road_web-960x641.jpg\" class=\"attachment-medium size-medium\" alt=\"Shrink-swell ground movement on road\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"caption \">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"caption-icon\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/themes\/bgs\/img\/info-caption.svg\" alt=\"Information icon\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"caption-text\"><p>Shrink\u2013swell ground movement can lead to financial loss for anyone involved in the construction, ownership or management of property, large structures, infrastructure networks and the utilities. BGS \u00a9 UKRI.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"expand-box expand-box-top\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/P903065_road_web.jpg\" data-toggle=\"lightbox\" data-footer=\"&lt;p&gt;Shrink\u2013swell ground movement can lead to financial loss for anyone involved in the construction, ownership or management of property, large structures, infrastructure networks and the utilities. BGS \u00a9 UKRI.&lt;\/p&gt;\n\" data-gallery=\"gallery_36401\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/themes\/bgs\/img\/expand.svg\" alt=\"Expand icon\"><\/a><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\n\n<div  class=\"accordions\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"acc-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<button class=\"acc-top secondary-background icon-arrow button no-btn\"><span class=\"button-content\" tabindex=\"-1\">What is shrink\u2013swell?<\/span><\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"acc-body sea-background-e\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Many soils contain clay minerals that absorb water when wet (making them swell) and lose water as they dry (making them shrink). This \u2018shrink\u2013swell\u2019 behaviour is controlled by the type and amount of clay in the soil and by changes in soil moisture content related to rainfall and local drainage. This shrink\u2013swell variation can cause ground movement, which in turn may affect building foundations, pipes or utility services.<\/p>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div><div  class=\"accordions\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"acc-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<button class=\"acc-top secondary-background icon-arrow button no-btn\"><span class=\"button-content\" tabindex=\"-1\">How does climate change affect shrink\u2013swell?<\/span><\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"acc-body sea-background-e\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Dry weather and high temperatures are a major factor in the emergence of subsidence in clay soils. Every summer can be completely different to the last; summer 2018 had the hottest, driest June for years whereas summer 2019 had one of the wettest Junes on record. Warmer, drier summers and increases in annual temperature and rainfall variability are predicted, which will cause more shrink\u2013swell activity.<\/p>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div><div  class=\"accordions\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"acc-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<button class=\"acc-top secondary-background icon-arrow button no-btn\"><span class=\"button-content\" tabindex=\"-1\">What is the impact of shrink\u2013swell?<\/span><\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"acc-body sea-background-e\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Shrink\u2013swell ground movement, typically reported as subsidence, is one of the most damaging geohazards in Britain today, costing the economy an estimated \u00a33\u202fbillion over the past decade. It can lead to financial loss for anyone involved in the construction, ownership or management of property, large structures, infrastructure networks and the utilities. These costs could include increased insurance premiums, depressed house prices and, in some cases, engineering works to stabilise land or property.<\/p>\n<p>Armed with knowledge about potential hazards, preventative or mitigative steps can be put in place to alleviate the effects of the hazard on property and infrastructure. The cost of such prevention may be very low and is often many times lower than the repair bill following ground movement.<\/p>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>GeoClimate: shrink\u2013swell national datasets<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\t\t\t\t<div  id=\"video-5876-block_61006b4de16a8\" class=\"video-wrap  \" >\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"img-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"position-relative\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" class=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/i3.ytimg.com\/vi\/mKfkcPWsu08\/hqdefault.jpg\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/themes\/bgs\/img\/video.svg\" class=\"video-play\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"caption sm-line\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"caption-icon\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/themes\/bgs\/img\/info-caption.svg\" alt=\"Information icon\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"caption-text\"><p>The BGS GeoClimate: shrink\u2013swell national datasets show potential change in subsidence due to changes in climate.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"into-video\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<noscript>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<iframe class=\"video-section\" src=\"https:\/\/youtube.com\/embed\/mKfkcPWsu08?enablejsapi=1&#038;version=3&#038;playerapiid=ytplayer&#038;rel=0&#038;autoplay=1\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/noscript>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\n\n\n<p>BGS has developed a suite of products, including maps and data, which show potential change in subsidence due to UKCP climate change scenarios.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/datasets\/geoclimate-open\/\">GeoClimate UKCP09 Open<\/a> is provided for three time periods, 2030s, 2050s and 2080s, with one projection provided for each time period based on the average outcome for the UKCP09 medium emissions scenario and the most susceptible GeoSure value (worst case) within the grid cell.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/datasets\/geoclimate-premium-ukcp09\/\">GeoClimate UKCP09 Premium<\/a> is a quasi-1:50 000-scale product, provided as area polygons, for five time-period envelopes of 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2080. It is based on the medium emissions scenario and provides projections for average, wetter and drier climate conditions, describing five categories of projected susceptibility, from highly unlikely to extremely likely.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/datasets\/geoclimateukcp18-open\/\">GeoClimate UKCP18 Open<\/a> is provided for two time periods, 2030s and 2070s, with one projection provided for each time period based on the average outcome for the UKCP18 higher emissions scenario and the most susceptible GeoSure value (worst case) within the grid cell.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/datasets\/geoclimateukcp18-premium\/\">GeoClimate UKCP18 Premium<\/a> is a quasi-1:50 000-scale product, provided as area polygons, for two projected 11-year windows of 2030 and 2070. It is based on the UKCP18 higher emissions scenario and provides projections for average, wetter and drier climate conditions, describing five categories of projected susceptibility, from highly unlikely to extremely likely.<\/p>\n\n\n\t\t\t\t<div  class=\"owl-carousel carousel-primary-color carousel owl-theme thumbs-carousel-js\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"item\"><figure  class=\"img-wrap\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Comparison_UKCP18_open.jpg\" data-toggle=\"lightbox\" data-footer=\"&lt;p&gt;Summary of GeoClimate UKCP18 Open dataset content. BGS \u00a9 UKRI.&lt;\/p&gt;\n\" data-gallery=\"gallery_16252\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Comparison_UKCP18_open-960x534.jpg\" class=\"attachment-medium size-medium\" alt=\"GeoClimate UKCP18 Open features\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"caption sm-line\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"caption-icon\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/themes\/bgs\/img\/info-caption.svg\" alt=\"Information icon\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"caption-text\"><p>Summary of GeoClimate UKCP18 Open dataset content. BGS \u00a9 UKRI.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"expand-box expand-box-top\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Comparison_UKCP18_open.jpg\" data-toggle=\"lightbox\" data-footer=\"&lt;p&gt;Summary of GeoClimate UKCP18 Open dataset content. BGS \u00a9 UKRI.&lt;\/p&gt;\n\" data-gallery=\"gallery_16252\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/themes\/bgs\/img\/expand.svg\" alt=\"Expand icon\"><\/a><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div><div class=\"item\"><figure  class=\"img-wrap\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Comparison_UKCP18_premium.jpg\" data-toggle=\"lightbox\" data-footer=\"&lt;p&gt;Summary of GeoClimate UKCP18 Premium dataset content. BGS \u00a9 UKRI.&lt;\/p&gt;\n\" data-gallery=\"gallery_16252\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Comparison_UKCP18_premium-960x534.jpg\" class=\"attachment-medium size-medium\" alt=\"GeoClimate UKCP18 Premium features\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"caption sm-line\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"caption-icon\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/themes\/bgs\/img\/info-caption.svg\" alt=\"Information icon\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"caption-text\"><p>Summary of GeoClimate UKCP18 Premium dataset content. BGS \u00a9 UKRI.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"expand-box expand-box-top\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Comparison_UKCP18_premium.jpg\" data-toggle=\"lightbox\" data-footer=\"&lt;p&gt;Summary of GeoClimate UKCP18 Premium dataset content. BGS \u00a9 UKRI.&lt;\/p&gt;\n\" data-gallery=\"gallery_16252\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/themes\/bgs\/img\/expand.svg\" alt=\"Expand icon\"><\/a><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div><div class=\"item\"><figure  class=\"img-wrap\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Comparison_UKCP09_open.jpg\" data-toggle=\"lightbox\" data-footer=\"&lt;p&gt;Summary of GeoClimate UKCP09 Open dataset content. BGS \u00a9 UKRI.&lt;\/p&gt;\n\" data-gallery=\"gallery_16252\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Comparison_UKCP09_open-960x534.jpg\" class=\"attachment-medium size-medium\" alt=\"GeoClimate UKCP09 Open features\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"caption sm-line\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"caption-icon\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/themes\/bgs\/img\/info-caption.svg\" alt=\"Information icon\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"caption-text\"><p>Summary of GeoClimate UKCP09 Open dataset content. BGS \u00a9 UKRI.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"expand-box expand-box-top\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Comparison_UKCP09_open.jpg\" data-toggle=\"lightbox\" data-footer=\"&lt;p&gt;Summary of GeoClimate UKCP09 Open dataset content. BGS \u00a9 UKRI.&lt;\/p&gt;\n\" data-gallery=\"gallery_16252\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/themes\/bgs\/img\/expand.svg\" alt=\"Expand icon\"><\/a><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div><div class=\"item\"><figure  class=\"img-wrap\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Comparison_UKCP09_premium.jpg\" data-toggle=\"lightbox\" data-footer=\"&lt;p&gt;Summary of GeoClimate UKCP09 Premium dataset content. BGS \u00a9 UKRI.&lt;\/p&gt;\n\" data-gallery=\"gallery_16252\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Comparison_UKCP09_premium-960x534.jpg\" class=\"attachment-medium size-medium\" alt=\"GeoClimate UKCP09 Premium features\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"caption sm-line\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"caption-icon\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/themes\/bgs\/img\/info-caption.svg\" alt=\"Information icon\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"caption-text\"><p>Summary of GeoClimate UKCP09 Premium dataset content. BGS \u00a9 UKRI.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"expand-box expand-box-top\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Comparison_UKCP09_premium.jpg\" data-toggle=\"lightbox\" data-footer=\"&lt;p&gt;Summary of GeoClimate UKCP09 Premium dataset content. BGS \u00a9 UKRI.&lt;\/p&gt;\n\" data-gallery=\"gallery_16252\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/themes\/bgs\/img\/expand.svg\" alt=\"Expand icon\"><\/a><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/section>\n\n\n\t\t\t\t\t<section   id=\"latest-content-6390-block_6054db217ff02\" class=\"grid-section  rock-background-d   \" >\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"row header-of-section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"col-12\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h2>GeoClimate data products<\/h2>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"row grid-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"col-lg-6 col-12\">\n\t<div class=\"cards cards-orizontal-sm  cards-find-more  cards-bordered\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/datasets\/geoclimateukcp18-open\/\" class=\"media-wrap\">\n\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/GeoClimate_UKCP18_open_thumb-150x150.jpg\" class=\"lazy-blur wp-post-image\" alt=\"GeoClimate UKCP18 Open Data\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/GeoClimate_UKCP18_open_thumb.jpg\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"info-wrap\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"info\">\n\t\t\t\t<h4><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/datasets\/geoclimateukcp18-open\/\">GeoClimate UKCP18 Open<\/a><\/h4>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Based on higher emissions scenario, provides the most susceptible value for the time periods 2030s and 2070s within the grid cell.<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/datasets\/geoclimateukcp18-open\/\">Show more<\/a>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"col-lg-6 col-12\">\n\t<div class=\"cards cards-orizontal-sm  cards-find-more  cards-bordered\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/datasets\/geoclimateukcp18-premium\/\" class=\"media-wrap\">\n\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/GeoClimate_UKCP18_thumb-150x150.jpg\" class=\"lazy-blur wp-post-image\" alt=\"GeoClimateUKCP18\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/GeoClimate_UKCP18_thumb.jpg\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"info-wrap\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"info\">\n\t\t\t\t<h4><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/datasets\/geoclimateukcp18-premium\/\">GeoClimate UKCP18 Premium<\/a><\/h4>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Based on higher emissions scenario, provides five levels of susceptibility for average, wetter and drier climate conditions for the time periods 2030s and 2070s at the 1:50 000 area polygons scale.<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/datasets\/geoclimateukcp18-premium\/\">Show more<\/a>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"col-lg-6 col-12\">\n\t<div class=\"cards cards-orizontal-sm  cards-find-more  cards-bordered\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/datasets\/geoclimate-open\/\" class=\"media-wrap\">\n\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/GeoClimate_UKCP09_open_thumb-150x150.jpg\" class=\"lazy-blur wp-post-image\" alt=\"GeoClimate UKCP09 Open Data\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/GeoClimate_UKCP09_open_thumb.jpg\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"info-wrap\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"info\">\n\t\t\t\t<h4><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/datasets\/geoclimate-open\/\">GeoClimate UKCP09 Open<\/a><\/h4>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Based on medium emissions scenario, provides the most susceptible value for the time periods 2030s, 2050s and 2080s within the grid cell.<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/datasets\/geoclimate-open\/\">Show more<\/a>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"col-lg-6 col-12\">\n\t<div class=\"cards cards-orizontal-sm  cards-find-more  cards-bordered\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/datasets\/geoclimate-premium-ukcp09\/\" class=\"media-wrap\">\n\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/GeoClimate_UKCP09_prem_thumb-150x150.jpg\" class=\"lazy-blur wp-post-image\" alt=\"GeoClimate UKCP09 Premium Data\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/GeoClimate_UKCP09_prem_thumb.jpg\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"info-wrap\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"info\">\n\t\t\t\t<h4><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/datasets\/geoclimate-premium-ukcp09\/\">GeoClimate UKCP09 Premium<\/a><\/h4>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Based on medium emissions scenario, provides five levels of susceptibility for average, wetter and drier climate conditions for the time-period envelopes of 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2080 at the 1:50 000 area polygons scale.<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/datasets\/geoclimate-premium-ukcp09\/\">Show more<\/a>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"row\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"col-12\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t\n\n\n<section class=\"wp-block-bgs-blocks-content-container content-section\"><div class=\"container\"><div class=\"row\"><div class=\"col-12\">\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Further information about the shrinking and swelling of soils:<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>What is shrink-swell?<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Many soils contain clay minerals that absorb water when wet (making them swell) and lose water as they dry (making them shrink). This \u2018shrink\u2013swell\u2019 behaviour is controlled by the type and amount of clay in the soil and by changes in soil moisture content related to rainfall and local drainage. This shrink\u2013swell variation can cause ground movement, which in turn may affect building foundations, pipes or utility services.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>How does climate change affect shrink-swell?<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Dry weather and high temperatures are a major factor in the emergence of subsidence in clay soils. Every summer can be completely different to the last; summer 2018 had the hottest, driest June for years whereas summer 2019 had one of the wettest Junes on record. Warmer, drier summers and increases in annual temperature and rainfall variability are predicted, which will cause more shrink\u2013swell activity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>What is the impact of shrink-swell?<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Shrink\u2013swell ground movement, typically reported as subsidence, is one of the most damaging geohazards in Britain today, costing the economy an estimated \u00a33\u202fbillion over the past decade. It can lead to financial loss for anyone involved in the construction, ownership or management of property, large structures, infrastructure networks and the utilities. These costs could include increased insurance premiums, depressed house prices and, in some cases, engineering works to stabilise land or property.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Armed with knowledge about potential hazards, preventative or mitigative steps can be put in place to alleviate the effects of the hazard on property and infrastructure. The cost of such prevention may be very low and is often many times lower than the repair bill following ground movement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"faqs\">Frequently asked questions<\/h3>\n\n\n<div  class=\"accordions\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"acc-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<button class=\"acc-top secondary-background icon-arrow button no-btn\"><span class=\"button-content\" tabindex=\"-1\">What is the relationship between GeoSure and GeoClimate UKCP09 and UKCP18?<\/span><\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"acc-body sea-background-e\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Whereas GeoSure: shrink\u2013swell considers only the physical properties of the geology, GeoClimate considers how these physical properties may be affected in the future as a consequence of projected changes in climate according to UKCP09 and UKCP18.<\/p>\n<p>The GeoSure: shrink\u2013swell rating does not change for a geological deposit. However, the projected changes in climate vary across Great Britain and, therefore, the GeoSure: shrink\u2013swell rating letter is combined with a number that represents the \u2018dry days\u2019 projected for that area, to provide a GeoClimate rating.<\/p>\n<p>The \u2018difference\u2019 maps (based on the time period 2005\u20132015) can be used to identify potential change from current \u2018modelled\u2019 conditions.<\/p>\n<p>Where users are interested in \u2018current climatic conditions\u2019, UKCP18 provides a baseline dataset (based on the time period 1985\u20131995), which should be referred to.<\/p>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div><div  class=\"accordions\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"acc-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<button class=\"acc-top secondary-background icon-arrow button no-btn\"><span class=\"button-content\" tabindex=\"-1\">How do GeoClimate Open and Premium compare?<\/span><\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"acc-body sea-background-e\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>GeoClimate Open data has been generated at 1:400 000 scale and is intended to be used as a national overview. It has been derived from the GeoClimate Premium dataset by taking the \u2018worst-case\u2019 susceptibility classification for each grid cell, and is therefore not suitable for local assessments.<\/p>\n<p>GeoClimate Premium has been developed at quasi-1:50 000 scale (due to the variable scales of input data) to provide a more detailed assessment of variations in clay shrink\u2013swell susceptibility due to climate change. It is recommended for more detailed, local assessments.<\/p>\n<p>For a visual comparison of the two datasets, figures 1A and 1B demonstrate the difference of GeoClimate Premium and Open for an area in the south-east of Great Britain at a 40 km<sup>2<\/sup> area, whilst figures 2A and 2B demonstrate the increased resolution provided by GeoClimate Premium in comparison to GeoClimate Open for a 2\u00a0km<sup>2<\/sup> area.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-59659\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/GeoClimate_fig5A.jpg\" alt=\"GeoClimate Open\" width=\"682\" height=\"509\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Figure 1A: GeoClimate Open for an example 40 km<sup>2<\/sup> area in south-east Great Britain. BGS \u00a9 UKRI.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-59660\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/GeoClimate_fig5B.jpg\" alt=\"GeoClimate figure 5B\" width=\"742\" height=\"509\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Figure 1B: GeoClimate Premium for an example 40\u00a0km<sup>2<\/sup> area in south-east Great Britain. BGS \u00a9 UKRI.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-59661\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/GeoClimate_fig6A.jpg\" alt=\"GeoClimate figure 5A\" width=\"622\" height=\"436\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Figure 2A: data resolution of GeoClimate Open for an example 2\u00a0km<sup>2<\/sup> area in central Great Britain. BGS \u00a9 UKRI.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-59662\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/GeoClimate_fig6B.jpg\" alt=\"Figure 6B\" width=\"648\" height=\"436\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Figure 2B: data resolution of GeoClimate Premium for an example 2\u00a0km<sup>2<\/sup> area in central Great Britain. BGS \u00a9 UKRI.<\/p>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div><div  class=\"accordions\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"acc-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<button class=\"acc-top secondary-background icon-arrow button no-btn\"><span class=\"button-content\" tabindex=\"-1\">Which climate projections are used in GeoClimate UKCP09 and UKCP18?<\/span><\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"acc-body sea-background-e\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>GeoClimate UKCP09 is the first BGS product to look at the effects of climate change on geohazard susceptibility. It uses the UK Climate Projections 2009, developed under the Met Office Hadley Centre Programme, as they provided the most suitable assessment of how the UK climate may change over the 21st century. At the time of production, they were the state-of-the-art in climate projections available. GeoClimate UKCP09 utilises the UKCP09 medium emissions projections.<\/p>\n<p>GeoClimateUKCP18 utilises the UKCP18 Convection Permitting Model climate projections for the UK at 2.2 km resolution. These were produced using the Met Office HadGEM3-GC3 model and are better able to represent small-scale atmospheric processes (e.g. large convective storms) than regional climate models run on a coarser resolution. The projections consist of a 12-member ensemble forced with the highest greenhouse gas concentration and emissions pathway (RCP8.5).<\/p>\n<p>For further details of UKCP18 compared to UKCP09, please see the Met Office <a href=\"https:\/\/www.metoffice.gov.uk\/binaries\/content\/assets\/metofficegovuk\/pdf\/research\/ukcp\/ukcp18-guidance-ukcp18-for-ukcp09-users.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">official document<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div><div  class=\"accordions\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"acc-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<button class=\"acc-top secondary-background icon-arrow button no-btn\"><span class=\"button-content\" tabindex=\"-1\">How do GeoClimate UKCP09 and GeoClimate UKCP18 compare?<\/span><\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"acc-body sea-background-e\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>GeoClimate UKCP09 is based on the UKCP09 medium emissions scenario.<\/p>\n<p>UKCP18 utilises the updated UKCP climate scenario, UKCP18, using the 2.2 km local projections (Murphy et al., 2018) to ensure the resolution provided in GeoClimate UKCP09 is maintained. These UKCP18 higher-resolution projections were provided for only one scenario, RCP8.5. Although RCPs are not strictly the same as emissions scenarios, RCP8.5 should be considered to be comparable to the high emissions scenario.<\/p>\n<p>The UKCP18 clearly outlined that general climate change trends over land for the 21st century were broadly consistent with UKCP09 projections; both show increased chance of milder, wetter winters and hotter, drier summers.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-59666\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/GeoClimate_comparison-960x556.jpg\" alt=\"GeoClimate comparison\" width=\"960\" height=\"556\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/GeoClimate_comparison-960x556.jpg 960w, https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/GeoClimate_comparison-768x445.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/GeoClimate_comparison.jpg 1043w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 960px) 100vw, 960px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>A comparison of GeoClimate UKCP09 Open and GeoClimate UKCP18 Open outputs. BGS \u00a9 UKRI.<\/p>\n<p>Therefore, GeoClimate UKCP09 and GeoClimate UKCP18 vary due to advancements in climate modelling and the use of a higher emissions scenarios in GeoClimate UKCP18.<\/p>\n<p>For further details of UKCP18 compared to UKCP09, please see the Met Office <a href=\"https:\/\/www.metoffice.gov.uk\/binaries\/content\/assets\/metofficegovuk\/pdf\/research\/ukcp\/ukcp18-guidance-ukcp18-for-ukcp09-users.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">official document<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>This is a comparison of GeoClimate UKCP09 and GeoClimate UKCP18 Premium.<\/p>\n<div class=\"col-12 responsive-table\"><table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th data-name=\"\"><\/th>\n<th data-name=\"GeoClimateUKCP09 Premium\">GeoClimateUKCP09 Premium<\/th>\n<th data-name=\"GeoClimateUKCP18 Premium\">GeoClimateUKCP18 Premium<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody><tr>\n<td data-before=\"\"><strong>Time slices available (11-year window)<\/strong><\/td><td data-before=\"GeoClimateUKCP09 Premium\">Five: 2020 (2015\u20132025); 2030 (2025\u20132035); 2040 (2035\u20132045); 2050 (2045\u20132055); 2080 (2075\u20132085)<\/td><td data-before=\"GeoClimateUKCP18 Premium\">Two: 2030 (2025\u20132035); 2070 (2065\u20132075)<\/tr><tr>\n<td data-before=\"\"><strong>Historical time period (11-year window)<\/strong><\/td><td data-before=\"GeoClimateUKCP09 Premium\">2010 (2005\u20132015)<\/td><td data-before=\"GeoClimateUKCP18 Premium\">1990 (1985\u20131995)<\/tr><tr>\n<td data-before=\"\"><strong>Emissions scenario<\/strong><\/td><td data-before=\"GeoClimateUKCP09 Premium\">Medium emissions<\/td><td data-before=\"GeoClimateUKCP18 Premium\">Higher emissions (8.5)<\/tr><tr>\n<td data-before=\"\"><strong>Climate models<\/strong><\/td><td data-before=\"GeoClimateUKCP09 Premium\">11 regional climate models (UKCEH)<\/td><td data-before=\"GeoClimateUKCP18 Premium\">12 representative concentration pathways<\/tr><tr>\n<td data-before=\"\"><strong>GeoClimate ategories<\/strong><\/td><td data-before=\"GeoClimateUKCP09 Premium\">5<\/td><td data-before=\"GeoClimateUKCP18 Premium\">5<\/tr><tr>\n<td data-before=\"\"><strong>Climate data scale<\/strong><\/td><td data-before=\"GeoClimateUKCP09 Premium\">Daily 2\u00a0km grid<\/td><td data-before=\"GeoClimateUKCP18 Premium\">Daily 2.2\u00a0km grid<\/tr><tr>\n<td data-before=\"\"><strong>Statistical outputs<\/strong><\/td><td data-before=\"GeoClimateUKCP09 Premium\">Medium, drier and wetter for each scenario projection (18)<\/td><td data-before=\"GeoClimateUKCP18 Premium\">Medium, drier and wetter for each scenario projection (9)<\/tr><tr>\n<td data-before=\"\"><strong>Format<\/strong><\/td><td data-before=\"GeoClimateUKCP09 Premium\">ESRI vector polygon data<\/td><td data-before=\"GeoClimateUKCP18 Premium\">ESRI vector polygon data<\/tr><tr>\n<td data-before=\"\"><strong>Difference maps<\/strong><\/td><td data-before=\"GeoClimateUKCP09 Premium\">15 \u2014 three for each time slice<\/td><td data-before=\"GeoClimateUKCP18 Premium\">6 \u2014 three for each time slice<\/tbody>\n<\/table><\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div><div  class=\"accordions\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"acc-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<button class=\"acc-top secondary-background icon-arrow button no-btn\"><span class=\"button-content\" tabindex=\"-1\">Why does the susceptibility change over time?<\/span><\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"acc-body sea-background-e\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Changes in susceptibility are driven by both the mineralogical and lithological characteristics of the geology as well as climate. Some areas of the country will never experience clay shrink\u2013swell due to the underlying geology and these areas remain \u2018improbable\u2019 in every time period. In other areas, the underlying geology contains clay minerals that can shrink and swell due to the presence of water, but are not yet experiencing fluctuations large enough to trigger visible volume change and ground movement. As climate changes over time, and the water content in the ground reaches new extremes, it is likely that these areas will experience some ground movement.<\/p>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div><div  class=\"accordions\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"acc-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<button class=\"acc-top secondary-background icon-arrow button no-btn\"><span class=\"button-content\" tabindex=\"-1\">Is GeoClimate Open enough for my needs?<\/span><\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"acc-body sea-background-e\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>As the climate continues to change, more geological formations containing shrink\u2013swell-susceptible clay minerals will experience larger fluctuations in water content. This will lead to the area projected to experience rising susceptibility becoming more widespread.<\/p>\n<p>You can use GeoClimate Open to check for any modelled change over the time periods. If it is consistently \u2018improbable\u2019 that your area of interest will experience changes in shrink\u2013swell susceptibility, then GeoClimate Open provides all the information you require to consider the impact of climate change on clay shrink\u2013swell. You should, however, consult <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/datasets\/bgs-geosure-shrink-swell-subsurface\/\">BGS GeoSure: shrink\u2013swell<\/a> to identify the existing susceptibility.<\/p>\n<p>If however, you do see a change to the susceptibility over time, then you are then advised to look more closely and use the detailed premium data or get site-specific advice.<\/p>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div><div  class=\"accordions\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"acc-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<button class=\"acc-top secondary-background icon-arrow button no-btn\"><span class=\"button-content\" tabindex=\"-1\">How are the GeoClimate Premium average, wetter and drier scenarios calculated for UKCP09 and UKCP18?<\/span><\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"acc-body sea-background-e\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>The methodology for UKCP09 Premium provides 11 values for each grid square, originating from the use of the UKCEH 11 regional climate models. The tenth percentile has been utilised to represent the wetter conditions; the fiftieth percentile represents median average conditions and the ninetieth percentile represents drier conditions.<\/p>\n<p>The methodology for UKCP18 Premium provides 12 values for each grid square, originating from the use of a 12-member perturbed parameter ensemble of global climate simulations. The tenth percentile has been utilised to represent the wetter conditions; the fiftieth percentile represents median average conditions and the ninetieth percentile represents drier conditions.<\/p>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div><div  class=\"accordions\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"acc-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<button class=\"acc-top secondary-background icon-arrow button no-btn\"><span class=\"button-content\" tabindex=\"-1\">What does the data unavailable category represent?<\/span><\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"acc-body sea-background-e\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>The reason for the \u2018unavailable\u2019 category arises from two different sources. Firstly, bot all the input datasets required are available for the Scottish Islands (including Orkney and Shetland). Therefore, results for these areas are categorised as \u2018Input datasets unavailable\u2019.<\/p>\n<p>Secondly, during the data processing, extremely high outlying values of soil moisture deficit were observed. Those events were associated with the coastline and originate with the UKCP09 and UKCP18 climate scenarios data. To account for this, any grid point with extremely high soil moisture deficit values was removed and replaced with a null value. It is therefore not possible to provide a GeoClimate score and the cell is recorded as \u2018unavailable\u2019.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-59663\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/GeoClimate_hebrides-960x405.jpg\" alt=\"GeoClimate Premium\" width=\"960\" height=\"405\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/GeoClimate_hebrides-960x405.jpg 960w, https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/GeoClimate_hebrides-768x324.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/GeoClimate_hebrides.jpg 973w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 960px) 100vw, 960px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>GeoClimate Premium of a) the Outer Hebrides and b) Morecambe Bay, demonstrating the two origins of data unavailable areas (grey). BGS \u00a9 UKRI.<\/p>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div><div  class=\"accordions\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"acc-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<button class=\"acc-top secondary-background icon-arrow button no-btn\"><span class=\"button-content\" tabindex=\"-1\">Why does GeoClimate Premium appear to be pixelated, when it is derived from the 1:50 000 geology polygons?<\/span><\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"acc-body sea-background-e\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>The gridded nature of areas of GeoClimate Premium is due to the resolution of the soil moisture deficit data generated using the BGS groundwater model (ZOODRM). This provides an output grid with a resolution of 2\u00a0km<sup>2<\/sup>. When combined with the geological 1:50 000-scale polygon dataset, in areas where the soil moisture deficit values lead to a varying GeoClimate Premium classification, across areas of consistent volume change potential, the grid is clearly visible.<\/p>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div><div  class=\"accordions\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"acc-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<button class=\"acc-top secondary-background icon-arrow button no-btn\"><span class=\"button-content\" tabindex=\"-1\">Which GeoClimate values could indicate larger impact?<\/span><\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"acc-body sea-background-e\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>In areas where there is currently low or limited clay shrink\u2013swell susceptibility (e.g. GeoSure values of A and B) it is less likely that mitigation work will have taken place. However, if these areas are projected to experience higher susceptibility to clay shrink\u2013swell in the future, the impact in these areas could be higher due to this vulnerability. In comparison, buildings that have been underpinned or built with deeper foundations will have a lower vulnerability and the impact of ground movement will be lessened.<\/p>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div><div  class=\"accordions\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"acc-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<button class=\"acc-top secondary-background icon-arrow button no-btn\"><span class=\"button-content\" tabindex=\"-1\">Can I request other scenarios or have a bespoke solution?<\/span><\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"acc-body sea-background-e\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>We offer additional services on top on the GeoClimate data product. This could include modified projections based on different climate datasets or scenarios, thresholds or changes to the input variables. Please <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/geological-data\/contact-the-digital-team\/\">contact us<\/a> to discuss your requirements.<\/p>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t<div class=\"relatives\">\n\t\t\t\t<h5>Relative topics<\/h5>\t\t\t\t<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/tag\/climate-change\/\" class=\"button primary-background\">climate change<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/tag\/data-products\/\" class=\"button primary-background\">data products<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/tag\/digital-data\/\" class=\"button primary-background\">digital data<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/tag\/geoclimate\/\" class=\"button primary-background\">geoclimate<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/tag\/shrink-swell\/\" class=\"button primary-background\">shrink-swell<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/tag\/subsidence\/\" class=\"button primary-background\">subsidence<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/section>\n\n\n\n\n\t\t\t\t\t<section   id=\"latest-content-7171-block_605723c850763\" class=\"grid-section  primary-background   \" >\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"row header-of-section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"col-12\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h2>You may also be interested in<\/h2>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"row grid-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"col-lg-6 col-12\">\n\t<div class=\"cards cards-orizontal-sm  cards-find-more  cards-bordered\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/information-hub\/licensing\/\" class=\"media-wrap\">\n\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/feature_aeromagnetic-150x150.jpg\" class=\"lazy-blur wp-post-image\" alt=\"Aeromagnetic surveys\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/feature_aeromagnetic.jpg\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"info-wrap\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"info\">\n\t\t\t\t<h4><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/information-hub\/licensing\/\">Digital data licensing and resellers<\/a><\/h4>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>If you are interested in an information product and the Open Government Licence is not applicable, we encourage the use and exploitation of our information products by providing a wide range of licences.<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/information-hub\/licensing\/\">Show more<\/a>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"col-lg-6 col-12\">\n\t<div class=\"cards cards-orizontal-sm  cards-find-more  cards-bordered\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/datasets\/geosure\/\" class=\"media-wrap\">\n\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/feature_geosure_sample-150x150.jpg\" class=\"lazy-blur wp-post-image\" alt=\"Geosure sample\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/feature_geosure_sample.jpg\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"info-wrap\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"info\">\n\t\t\t\t<h4><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/datasets\/geosure\/\">BGS GeoSure<\/a><\/h4>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>The BGS GeoSure datasets identify areas of potential hazard and, therefore, potential natural ground movement, in Great Britain.<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/datasets\/geosure\/\">Show more<\/a>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"row\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"col-12\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>BGS has developed a suite of products, including maps and data, which show potential change in subsidence due to UKCP climate change scenarios<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":59745,"parent":0,"menu_order":15,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_relevanssi_hide_post":"","_relevanssi_hide_content":"","_relevanssi_pin_for_all":"on","_relevanssi_pin_keywords":"geoclimate, shrink-swell","_relevanssi_unpin_keywords":"","_relevanssi_related_keywords":"","_relevanssi_related_include_ids":"","_relevanssi_related_exclude_ids":"","_relevanssi_related_no_append":"","_relevanssi_related_not_related":"","_relevanssi_related_posts":"68766,69148,69230,70166,1925,59077","_relevanssi_noindex_reason":"","footnotes":""},"tags":[986,1143,1064,1126,1127,1128],"region":[8,116],"topic":[33,25],"purpose":[34,44],"area":[16],"challenge":[],"challenge_topic":[],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>GeoClimate UKCP09 and UKCP18 - British Geological Survey<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The GeoClimate UKCP09 &amp; UKCP18 suite of products, include maps and data, which show potential change in shrink-swell susceptibility due to UKCP climate change scenarios.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/datasets\/geoclimate-ukcp09-and-ukcp18\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"GeoClimate UKCP09 and UKCP18 - British Geological Survey\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The GeoClimate UKCP09 &amp; UKCP18 suite of products, include maps and data, which show potential change in shrink-swell susceptibility due to UKCP climate change scenarios.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/datasets\/geoclimate-ukcp09-and-ukcp18\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"British Geological Survey\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-02-27T14:55:55+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/GeoClimate_UKCP18_thumb.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"640\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"430\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Estimated reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/datasets\/geoclimate-ukcp09-and-ukcp18\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/datasets\/geoclimate-ukcp09-and-ukcp18\/\",\"name\":\"GeoClimate UKCP09 and UKCP18 - British Geological Survey\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/datasets\/geoclimate-ukcp09-and-ukcp18\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/datasets\/geoclimate-ukcp09-and-ukcp18\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/GeoClimate_UKCP18_thumb.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2021-03-26T13:43:04+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-02-27T14:55:55+00:00\",\"description\":\"The GeoClimate UKCP09 & UKCP18 suite of products, include maps and data, which show potential change in shrink-swell susceptibility due to UKCP climate change scenarios.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/datasets\/geoclimate-ukcp09-and-ukcp18\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/datasets\/geoclimate-ukcp09-and-ukcp18\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/datasets\/geoclimate-ukcp09-and-ukcp18\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/GeoClimate_UKCP18_thumb.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/GeoClimate_UKCP18_thumb.jpg\",\"width\":640,\"height\":430,\"caption\":\"GeoClimateUKCP18\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/datasets\/geoclimate-ukcp09-and-ukcp18\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Data search\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/geological-data\/data-search\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":3,\"name\":\"GeoClimate UKCP09 and UKCP18\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/\",\"name\":\"British Geological Survey\",\"description\":\"World-leading geological solutions\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/#organization\",\"name\":\"British Geological Survey\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/BGS-logo-large.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/BGS-logo-large.png\",\"width\":250,\"height\":104,\"caption\":\"British Geological Survey\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\"}}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"GeoClimate UKCP09 and UKCP18 - British Geological Survey","description":"The GeoClimate UKCP09 & UKCP18 suite of products, include maps and data, which show potential change in shrink-swell susceptibility due to UKCP climate change scenarios.","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/datasets\/geoclimate-ukcp09-and-ukcp18\/","og_locale":"en_GB","og_type":"article","og_title":"GeoClimate UKCP09 and UKCP18 - British Geological Survey","og_description":"The GeoClimate UKCP09 & UKCP18 suite of products, include maps and data, which show potential change in shrink-swell susceptibility due to UKCP climate change scenarios.","og_url":"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/datasets\/geoclimate-ukcp09-and-ukcp18\/","og_site_name":"British Geological Survey","article_modified_time":"2024-02-27T14:55:55+00:00","og_image":[{"width":640,"height":430,"url":"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/GeoClimate_UKCP18_thumb.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Estimated reading time":"3 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/datasets\/geoclimate-ukcp09-and-ukcp18\/","url":"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/datasets\/geoclimate-ukcp09-and-ukcp18\/","name":"GeoClimate UKCP09 and UKCP18 - British Geological Survey","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/datasets\/geoclimate-ukcp09-and-ukcp18\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/datasets\/geoclimate-ukcp09-and-ukcp18\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/GeoClimate_UKCP18_thumb.jpg","datePublished":"2021-03-26T13:43:04+00:00","dateModified":"2024-02-27T14:55:55+00:00","description":"The GeoClimate UKCP09 & UKCP18 suite of products, include maps and data, which show potential change in shrink-swell susceptibility due to UKCP climate change scenarios.","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/datasets\/geoclimate-ukcp09-and-ukcp18\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-GB","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/datasets\/geoclimate-ukcp09-and-ukcp18\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-GB","@id":"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/datasets\/geoclimate-ukcp09-and-ukcp18\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/GeoClimate_UKCP18_thumb.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/GeoClimate_UKCP18_thumb.jpg","width":640,"height":430,"caption":"GeoClimateUKCP18"},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/datasets\/geoclimate-ukcp09-and-ukcp18\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Data search","item":"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/geological-data\/data-search\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":3,"name":"GeoClimate UKCP09 and UKCP18"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/","name":"British Geological Survey","description":"World-leading geological solutions","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"en-GB"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/#organization","name":"British Geological Survey","url":"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-GB","@id":"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/BGS-logo-large.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/BGS-logo-large.png","width":250,"height":104,"caption":"British Geological Survey"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"}}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/dataset\/70405"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/dataset"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/dataset"}],"version-history":[{"count":74,"href":"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/dataset\/70405\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":88642,"href":"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/dataset\/70405\/revisions\/88642"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/59745"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=70405"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=70405"},{"taxonomy":"region","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/region?post=70405"},{"taxonomy":"topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topic?post=70405"},{"taxonomy":"purpose","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/purpose?post=70405"},{"taxonomy":"area","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/area?post=70405"},{"taxonomy":"challenge","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/challenge?post=70405"},{"taxonomy":"challenge_topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bgs.ac.uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/challenge_topic?post=70405"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}