The TEMPEST project aims to improve our understanding of how climate change will affect extratropical cyclones. TEMPEST stands for Testing and Evaluating Model Predictions of European Storms.
The project is a collaboration between the universities of Reading, Exeter and Oxford, the Met Office and ECMWF (the European Centre for Mid-Range Weather Forecasting).
Wind and flood damage from extratropical cyclones has dramatic social and economic impacts. An example of this are the three storms (Anatol, Lothar and Martin) that crossed North Western Europe in quick succession during December 1999. The devastating damage from these storms cost an estimated 18.5 billion euros.
Understanding the impacts of climate change on extratropical cyclones is critical to assessing future weather risk. At present, however, there is little consensus as to how climate models predict European extratropical cyclones will change in the future.
The TEMPEST project aims to:
Principal Investigator: Dr. Len Shaffrey
Storm Risk Mitigation is a NERC-funded research programme
See the Storms pages on the NERC website.