Publications

The Changing Water Cycle projects have produced a selection of significant peer-reviewed papers:

Projected increases in summer and winter UK sub-daily precipitation extremes from high-resolution regional climate models Chan S.C., Kendon, E.J., Fowler, H.J., Blenkinsop, S. and Roberts, N.M. 2014. Environmental Research Letters 9 084019 doi:10.1088/1748-9326/9/8/084019.

Heavier summer downpours with climate change revealed by weather forecast resolution model
Kendon, E.J., Roberts, N.M., Fowler, H.J., Roberts, M.J., Chan, S.C. and Senior, C.A. 2014. Nature Climate Change 4, 570–576. DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2258.

The Value of High-Resolution Met Office Regional Climate Models in the Simulation of Multihourly Precipitation Extremes
Chan, S.C., Kendon, E.J., Fowler, H.J., Blenkinsop, S., Roberts, N.M. and Ferro, C.A.T. 1994. Journal of Climate, 27, 6155–6174. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00723.1

Does increasing the spatial resolution of a regional climate model improve the simulated daily precipitation?
Chan S.C., Kendon E.J., Fowler H.J., Blenkinsop S., Ferro C.A.T., Stephenson D.B.
Climate Dynamics, 2013, 41 (5–6), 1475–1495. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1568-9.

Realism of rainfall in a very high resolution regional climate model
Kendon E.J., Roberts N.M., Senior C.A., Roberts M.J.
Journal of Climate, 25, 5791–5806. 2012. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00562.1

Historical and future land cover changes in the Upper Ganges basin in India Tsarouchi, G.M., Mijic, A., Moulds, S., and Buytaert, W. 2014. International Journal of Remote Sensing. 35(9), 3150-3176DOI:10.1080/01431161.2014.903352.

Future changes in atmospheric rivers and their implications for winter flooding in Britain
David A Lavers, Richard P Allan, Gabriele Villarini, Benjamin Lloyd-Hughes, David J Brayshaw and Andrew J Wade
Environmental Research Letters, 8, 034010 DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/8/3/034010, 2013

The detection of atmospheric rivers in atmospheric reanalyses and their links to British winter floods and the large-scale climatic circulation
Lavers, D.A., G. Villarini, R.P. Allan, E.F. Wood, and A.J. Wade
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 117, D20106, DOI:10.1029/2012JD018027, 2012

Quantifying global climate feedbacks, responses and forcing under abrupt and gradual CO2 forcing
Long, DJ and Collins M.
Climate Dynamics, 2013, Volume 41, Issue 9-10, pp 2471-2479
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-013-1677-0

Physically consistent responses of the global atmospheric hydrological cycle in models and observations
Allan, R.P., C. Liu, M. Zahn, D. A. Lavers, E. Koukouvagias and A. Bodas-Salcedo
Surveys in Geophysics, DOI: 10.1007/s10712-012-9213-z, 2013.

Climate warming-related strengthening of the tropical hydrological cycle
Zahn, M. and R. P. Allan
Journal of Climate, 26, p.562-574, 2013.

Fingerprints of changes in annual and seasonal precipitation from CMIP5 models over land and ocean
Balan Sarojini, B., P. A. Stott, E. Black, and D. Polson Geophysical Research Letters, 39, DOI: 10.1029/2012GL053373, 2012.

The groundwater recharge response and hydrologic services of tropical humid forest ecosystems to use and reforestation: Support for the “Infiltration- Evapotranspiration Trade–Off Hypothesis” Krishnaswamy, J., Bonell, M., Venkatesh, B., Purandara, B.K., Rakesh, K.N. Lele, S., Kiran, M.C., Reddy, V. and Badiger, S. 2013. Journal of Hydrology, 498, 191-209. doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.06.034.

The impact of forest use and reforestation on soil hydraulic conductivity in the Western Ghats of India: implications for surface and sub-surface hydrology Bonell, M., Purandara, B. K., Venkatesh, B., Krishnaswamy, J., Acharya, H. A. K., Jayakumar, R., Singh, U. V., Chappell, N. 2010. In: Journal of Hydrology, Vol. 391, No. 1-2, 14.09.2010, p. 47-62. doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2010.07.004.

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This site is hosted by the British Geological Survey but responsibility for the content of the site lies with the Changing Water Cycle project not with the British Geological Survey. Questions, suggestions or comments regarding the contents of this site should be directed to Emily Crane